Scouts and winners
The method behind my Trading with an agent fleet setup, in one line: seed everything as a scout, promote only what survives.
- Scouts. Every strategy class in the library gets seeded on paper, long and short where it makes sense, at a flat tiny size. Paper is for learning, not for P&L, so the metric is the hit rate and the shape of the trades, not the dollars.
- Patience. Nothing gets judged on less than about 48 hours of data. A 100% win rate on a small sample is a red flag, not a result.
- Promotion gates. A scout only graduates to live if its market has real depth (roughly half a million dollars a day of volume or more) and its orders actually fill at the prices paper assumed. Paper fills are optimistic; fill rate is the reality check.
- Change exits with evidence. Before touching a take-profit or stop-loss, replay the actual trades' best and worst excursions (MFE/MAE) and see what the change would have done.
- Kill losers on a schedule. Losers get blacklisted per symbol and per strategy; the library keeps growing at the top and shrinking at the bottom.
What surprised me: most strategy ideas don't fail on the idea. They fail on Fees decide everything and on The regime gate.